Market Analysis

Market AnalysisUS Inflation Comes in Hotter-Than-Expected, USD Gets a Small Bid, Gold Drifts

12 Mar, 2024

US Dollar Analysis and Charts

  • US inflation nudges higher in February.
  • US rate cut expectations remain the same with June the probable start date.

For all economic data releases and events see the Economic Calendar

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics,

‘The index for shelter rose in February, as did the index for gasoline. Combined, these two indexes contributed over sixty percent of the monthly increase in the index for all items. The energy index rose 2.3 percent over the month, as all of its component indexes increased. The food index was unchanged in February, as was the food at home index. The food away from home index rose 0.1 percent over the month.’

US Inflation Report – BLS

The US dollar picked up a small bid after the results with the US dollar index back above 103.00. Market probabilities for future US rate cuts however remained unchanged with the probability of a June rate cut still over 80%.

US Dollar Index Daily Chart

Gold is giving back some of its recent strong rally, but again the move is limited. The first level of support is seen on either side of the $2,050/oz. area before $2,120/oz. comes into focus.

Gold Daily Price Chart

Charts via TradingView